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Feb 4, 2026 12:20 PM

The Elon Musk-onomy Consolidation: Is a Tesla SpaceX Merger Coming?

The financial world is buzzing with a radical theory regarding the future of Elon Musk's empire.

While Wall Street has long anticipated a blockbuster SpaceX IPO, billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya and a bullish Wall Street analyst are each suggesting a far more disruptive path: a merger into Tesla.

TSLA stock is moving. See the chart and price action here.

The No IPO Prediction

Chamath sparked intense debate by calling the absence of a SpaceX IPO his “most contrarian take for 2026.”

In early January, he argued that instead of a traditional public offering, Musk will orchestrate a reverse merger, effectively folding SpaceX into Tesla.

"My contrarian belief is I don’t think SpaceX will IPO … I think that it will reverse merge into Tesla, and I think Elon will use it as a moment to consolidate control and power of his two seminal assets into one cap table," Palihapitiya said on the "All-In" podcast.

Chamath's Most Contrarian Take for 2026: SpaceX will merge with Tesla, NOT IPO*Published January 9th as part of All-In's 2026 Predictions*@chamath:"My contrarian belief is ...

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