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Apr 22, 2026 12:01 PM

Cruise Stocks Led The Ceasefire Rally: $90 Crude Now Changes The Math

Cruise stocks were supposed to be the cleanest ceasefire trade on the board. Brent off the highs, Strait of Hormuz rumors of reopening, a consumer that everyone said was still spending.

Carnival Corp. (NYSE:CCL) rallied 16% from its March 30 low. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:NCLH) bounced 11%. Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL) followed.

Then, Wall Street analysts started running the numbers against $90 crude.

And the numbers did not cooperate.

Bank of America analyst Andrew G. Didora became the latest to cut on Wednesday morning, trimming Royal Caribbean’s price target from $330 to $310 and Norwegian Cruise’s from $27 to $25.

The Cruise Ceasefire Rally Meets Reality: BofA Is The Latest To Cut

“1Q26 earnings season should focus on the demand impact of the Iran conflict and the flow through of higher commodity prices,” Didora said in a note.

BofA did not move alone. Morgan Stanley cut Norwegian Cruise’s price target from $24 to $23. UBS took it from $27 to $22. Wells Fargo & Co. cut from $32 to $26. Tigress Financial went from $38 ...