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Apr 29, 2026 8:01 AM

Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Set To Report Earnings After Market Close Today—Here's What Polymarket and Kalshi Traders Expect

Investors are bracing for arguably one of the most pivotal days of earnings season on Wednesday, with four of the “Magnificent Seven” giants set to report after market close. Activity on prediction markets, consequently, has intensified.

Who’s Beating Earnings?

Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) are in the spotlight.

The combined valuation of these technology giants was nearly $12 trillion as of this writing, reflecting their strong ability to sway markets.

Unsurprisingly, punters were placing large bets on the earnings outcome.

Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polyamarket assigned a 96% probability that Amazon will surpass its first quarter earnings expectations, beating the consensus EPS estimate of $1.65.

Market optimism extended to other firms, as Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet carried earnings beat probabilities of 94%, 92%, and 96%, respectively, at the time of ...